Asian Economic and Financial Review

The impact of digital financial inclusion on household financial vulnerability in China: An empirical study based on CFPS

2025-11-10T23:50:10-06:00

Digital Financial Inclusion (DFI) has developed rapidly worldwide and is considered an important tool to alleviate Household Financial Vulnerability (FV). However, most of the existing studies are limited to short-term effects and are based on single-time cross-sectional data, lacking a dynamic analysis of the impact of digital inclusive finance before and after. Therefore, based on the CFPS data from 2018 and 2022, employing an Ordered Probit regression model and its marginal effect analysis, combined with mediating effect tests, heterogeneity analysis, and robustness tests, the following hypotheses are verified: (1) DFI significantly reduces household financial vulnerability; (2) this effect is partly realized by increasing household income and easing credit constraints; (3) low-income households and economically underdeveloped areas rely more on DFI to alleviate financial vulnerability; (4) after the epidemic, the mitigation effect of DFI on household financial vulnerability is enhanced. The results show that digital financial inclusion plays a significant role in reducing household financial vulnerability, and digital inclusive finance can also reduce household financial vulnerability by increasing household income. At the same time, the role of digital inclusive finance is more significant in economically developed regions and low-income families. Additionally, the marginal effect of digital financial inclusion is stronger in 2022 after the pandemic compared to 2018.

The influence of human, relational, and structural capital on innovative performance in Indonesia's sharia banking industry: The mediating role of dynamic potential and realized absorptive capacity

2025-11-24T04:31:07-06:00

The challenge for the Sharia Banking industry is product innovation, which is considered unable to meet market needs and lacks high competitiveness compared to conventional bank products. This study aimed to demonstrate the influence of human, relational, and structural capital on innovation performance in the Indonesian Sharia Banking industry. The authors are concerned that dynamic potential absorptive capacity (DPAC) and dynamic realized absorptive capacity (DRAC) can mediate this relationship based on the dynamic capabilities theory. This study obtained 288 valid questionnaires that collected data from several Sharia Bank locations in Indonesia. PLS-SEM is a modeling technique that aims to determine structural equations. The findings of the study indicate that the development of human capital and relational capital, mediated by DPAC and DRAC, enhances innovative performance in Indonesia's Sharia banking sector. Moreover, the mediating role of DRAC, rather than DPAC, showed a significantly greater influence in improving the innovation performance of the antecedent variable, human capital, compared to other antecedent variables, namely relational capital. Theoretically, DRAC acts as a mediator to help banks transform and integrate new knowledge and insights gained from human capital, then transform them into innovative solutions. Banks can enhance their employees' ability to absorb and synthesize various types of knowledge, fostering creativity and innovation that result in stronger and more effective solutions.

Country risks and foreign direct investments in 7 ASEAN countries

2025-11-24T08:34:02-06:00

This study investigates the influence of country risk on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in ASEAN nations over the period 1998–2022, focusing on political, economic, and financial risk components. Employing the Fixed Effects Model (FEM), this study analyzes panel data across ASEAN countries to assess how different aspects of country risk affect FDI attraction. The findings reveal that while no significant overall connection exists between country risk and FDI inflows across the entire sample, country-specific characteristics play a crucial role. Specifically, negative impacts are observed in developing nations, nations with lower FDI inflows, and those with relatively low-risk profiles. Political risks significantly discourage foreign investments, especially in developing economies, economies with difficulty attracting foreign capital, and those considered high-risk. By contrast, financial and economic risks generally exhibit no significant influence on FDI. Nonetheless, reducing economic risk emerges as an important factor for enhancing FDI in countries with low levels of FDI attraction, whereas mitigating financial risk is critical for countries that attract higher volumes of FDI. Country risk impacts FDI inflows in a nuanced, country-specific manner, with political risk being the most significant deterrent for developing and high-risk ASEAN nations. Based on this finding, we are able to provide recommendations to address distinct dimensions of country risk and foster a more favorable investment environment across ASEAN member states.

Asymmetric effects of internet penetration on high-quality financial development in a resource-depleted Chinese city: Evidence from Jiaozuo

2025-11-25T09:21:55-06:00

This study investigates the asymmetric effects of internet development on high-quality financial development in resource-exhausted cities, with Jiaozuo serving as a representative case. Jiaozuo is selected as a representative case due to its status as a typical resource-exhausted city undergoing institutional and economic transformation. It challenges the conventional assumption that digital expansion uniformly enhances financial performance in structurally constrained environments. Employing a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model on annual data from 2000 to 2023, the analysis decomposes internet penetration into positive and negative changes to examine their differential impacts on a composite index of financial development quality. R&D intensity, economic openness, income level, are incorporated as control variables. The results show that positive internet shocks do not have a statistically significant impact on high-quality financial development, while negative shocks, although causing short-term disturbances, are conducive to long-term institutional adaptation and systemic improvements. According to the results, policies should prioritize institutional capacity building and digital financial literacy over indiscriminate infrastructure expansion, consistent with the Sustainable Development Plan for Resource-Exhausted Cities from 2025-2027. Reforms in financial governance and sustained innovation support are essential to advance digital-financial integration, in alignment with the 14th Five-Year Plan for Digital Economy Development for 2028-2035 targets.

Do global investors weather the storm? Evidence from mainland China and Hong Kong stock markets

2025-11-25T09:28:54-06:00

This study examines the influence of extreme weather events on stock market behavior in China, focusing on the Shanghai and Hong Kong Stock Exchanges. This article’s hypothesis is that local weather affects individual investors in Shanghai more significantly due to their short-term, speculative trading habits. In contrast, institutional investors in Hong Kong are less influenced by short-term considerations due to their long-term strategies and access to resources. The Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GJR-GARCH) estimator can test the hypothesis under different market conditions and volatility clustering. The analysis utilizes daily financial and meteorological data from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2023. The GJR-GARCH estimator incorporates variables such as air pressure, humidity, sunshine hours, and temperature. The results show that extreme weather has a more pronounced effect on the Shanghai market than the Hong Kong market. Furthermore, extreme weather events influence stock turnover and volatility more than stock returns, reflecting shifts in investment behavior. The hypothesis is further tested to determine whether it remains valid during bull and bear markets, which are emotionally charged periods. The hypothesis still holds, albeit with less pronounced effects. Thus, extreme weather can impact stock market performance, with the composition of investors playing a significant role.